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Will Britons’ list of predictable winners mean Oscar voters follow? – Deadline

With Chloe Zhao’s expected victory at the DGA last night, and her film Nomadland Taking the lion’s share of BAFTA wins today for Best Picture, Director, Actress Frances McDormand and Cinematography, Searchlight appears to be an overwhelming repeat Oscar favorite. Who would bet against a movie that has mostly swept the season away with key wins not only at BAFTA and DGA, but also at PGA, Golden Globes, Critics Choice and more – a consensus choice, it seems- If you believe at all in the predictive value of early stage premiums. He was only missed at SAG where he was not even nominated for the very important exceptional casting which was won by The Chicago 7 trial, and was AWOL at WGA where he was deemed ineligible due to Guild rules requiring films to be made as part of their MBA.

BAFTA Film Awards: ‘Nomadland’ Wins Best Picture, Director, Actress & Cinematography – Full List of Winners

Deadline

So should everyone just throw in the towel, even if Oscar voters don’t even start voting until Thursday? Statistically it sounds intimidating, but as I pointed out last week in my analysis of SAG rewards, and where I predicted Nomadland would come back strong to both DGA and BAFTA this weekend, as it is now, you can still look to 2005 for a lifeboat if you are someone other than Searchlight in that regard. moment. It was when brokeback mountain ran the table like Nomadland did, but even won WGA to boot, losing only the SAG Cast award for upstart crash who built enough momentum just from that one win to burst Brokeback‘s bubble and take the best shot, along with the original script and the Oscar cut.

Chicago 7, who came empty to BAFTA, is hoping for that kind of upheaval. We’ll see, but a race like the one in the movie Chloe Zhao would be a very rare bird to stop around this time. Voters, on the whole, tend to like what they think is a winner, and Nomadland clearly holds this card. A bright note for the competitors? BAFTA hasn’t matched Oscar’s best film in the past six years in a row, so savor that for a while.

As big a night as SAG was last Sunday for Netflix, this Sunday’s best BAFTA awards went elsewhere with the uber-streamer only taking the documentary for. My octopus teacher and His houseRemi Weekes for Outstanding Debut by a British Filmmaker (In Yesterday’s Craft Awards, Netflix’s Ma Rainey’s black background took on makeup and costumes while Mank won the production design).

British favorite son Anthony Hopkins in The father finally broke through and temporarily blocked the momentum of the late Chadwick Boseman in the Best Actor race which Boseman has dominated this season almost everywhere else. The father also defeated Nomadland for Adapted Screenplay, a big plus for him as we enter the Oscar voting period (British icon Christopher Hampton shared this award for writer / director Florian Zeller).

The loss of Boseman was the most surprising result for me, especially with everything the BAFTAs have done in the press about their march to diversity this year, certainly evident in the nominations if not in the winners. In a year in which black filmmakers and black-themed films garnered a lot of attention and praise (AFI’s Top Ten had five), BAFTA managed to do no nominating none for its Best Picture award, which ultimately went to Chinese director Zhao’s Gaze. among mostly older whites who abandon American society and come to life on the road. The only grand prize awarded to any black filmmaker or actor was Judas and the Black MessiahDaniel Kaluuya who also happens to be British. He continues his sweep this awards season and looks like a lock for Oscar. Other than that, the biggest BAFTA award given to black-oriented cinema was the animated feature film for Disney / Pixar. Soul (from a white director and producer).

McDormand’s lead actress victory came in a category that has largely ignored her Oscar nominated counterparts as only McDormand and British star Vanessa Kirby also go to the Oscars where ignored BAFTA contenders Andra Day, Viola Davis and Carey Mulligan are also nominated and have each won an important precursor award to make this a category everyone is to lose. Only Kirby, in Pieces of a woman, didn’t win any of the major TV accolades, but she was the first this season to win Best Actress in Venice (remember?) eight months ago.

McDormand beat Kirby and four other black BAFTA nominees, a category indicative of the organization’s attempt to be more diverse after years gone by when it was anything but that, even at the cost of not naming deserving contenders like Mulligan, much acclaimed by Great Britain Promising young woman otherwise it worked very well with BAFTA.

Place your bets.

Cemented BAFTA MinariKorean star Yuh-Jung Youn as the leading supporting actress after SAG won last week. BAFTA also continued British prodigious Emerald Fennell’s march to the Oscars by honoring her Best Original Screenplay, which she also won at WGA, as well as Outstanding British Film for the above. Promising young woman.

Last night’s BAFTAs and DGAs are the last big stop before Oscar voting begins on April 15 and ends on April 20. We’ll see what it all means in that regard when the Oscars finally come to an end to this long, long pandemic awards season on April 25. .

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